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When ETF flows confound expectations
When ETF flows confound expectations

From time to time, EPFR’s clients alert us to anomalous flows into exchange traded funds (ETFs) that occur on a specific day and for a specific fund. Given our awareness of these types of flows, and the granularity of our databases, EPFR’s quant team decided it was high time they dove into our ETF database and conducted a systematic analysis of these events.

Banking on the cavalry’s prompt arrival
Banking on the cavalry’s prompt arrival

The second week of March was dominated by the crumbling fortunes of large US regional banks and European major Credit Suisse. Although this certainly dented investors’ risk appetite, many saw events as an opportunity – especially if major central banks dust off their playbooks from 2008-09 and 2020, opening lines of credit and secured lending facilities and cutting interest rates.

China Evergrande – Fixed on its fate
China Evergrande – Fixed on its fate

The fate of China’s Evergrande, the second-largest developer in China by sales, could have a knock-on effect on China’s real estate sector and the international markets, in what doomsayers have warned could well be another Lehman moment for financial markets.

Quants Corner – Is volatility coming out of the doldrums?
Quants Corner – Is volatility coming out of the doldrums?

It feels like a long time, but it was only three years ago when the VIX index, the benchmark for measuring market volatility, hit an all-time intraday low of 8.56. Although CBOE noted that it was a glitch, and November 27, 2017, ended with the VIX well above 9, it highlighted the degree to which volatility had gone AWOL.